Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 7 Dec 2024

Newcastle Jets
0-1 HT 0-1
Adelaide United
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.89
2-3 Goals
41%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.25
1/2
7%
22.1
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
8%
9.93
X/2
15%
5.01
X/X
9%
7.42
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.45
2/X
9%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.22/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.20/1.38
-26% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.4
17.5 Crosses 22.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Adelaide United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
350 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.03.2024 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
22.12.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
11.03.2023 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 2-4 HT 2-3 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
27.12.2022 Adelaide United Adelaide United 0-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
13.03.2022 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets AVUS
30.01.2022 Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 1-2 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS

Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets
0-1
AWAY Adelaide United
1.56 xG 2.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
459 Passes 419
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 32
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United squeezed past Newcastle Jets 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle Jets had 53% of the ball to Adelaide United's 47%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.56 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle Jets and 2.00 for Adelaide United.

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?

Newcastle Jets 0-1 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets 23%, draw 25%, Adelaide United 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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