Western United 0-0 Macarthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
16%
6.94
X/2
14%
6.71
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
19%
3.8
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 6% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Macarthur EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.71
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.7 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Macarthur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.29 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
424 Passes 376
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Western United Western United 4-2 HT 0-2 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
12.01.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 3-3 HT 1-1 Western United Western United AVUS
04.11.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
28.01.2023 Macarthur Macarthur 2-2 HT 0-0 Western United Western United AVUS
21.10.2022 Western United Western United 1-1 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
19.04.2022 Western United Western United 2-0 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
0-0
AWAY Macarthur
1.34 xG 0.39
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
327 Passes 471
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western United vs Macarthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United and Macarthur fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Western United had 42% of the ball to Macarthur's 58%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Western United and 1.50 for Macarthur.

What was the final score of Western United vs Macarthur?

Western United 0-0 Macarthur in the Australia - A-League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Macarthur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Macarthur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Western United 38%, draw 23%, Macarthur 39%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Macarthur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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