Santa Cruz 0-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.78/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.49
-3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -23%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
18.7 Crosses 21.0
3.9 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Guabira
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.34
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
163 Passes 257
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2024 Guabira Guabira 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
08.03.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
25.02.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
10.08.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-3 HT 1-2 Guabira Guabira BOLPLK
30.07.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
25.02.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz
0-1
AWAY Guabira
0.88 xG 2.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
172 Passes 162
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 31
28 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira squeezed past Santa Cruz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Guabira found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santa Cruz had 51% of the ball to Guabira's 49%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 0.88 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Cruz and 1.00 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz vs Guabira?

Santa Cruz 0-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz 31%, draw 29%, Guabira 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✓ BTTS No
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