Bengaluru 4-2 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 36%
+25% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.16/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.29
-5% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.8 Crosses 15.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 289
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 1-3 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
02.03.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
21.09.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
18.08.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-2 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINDK
16.04.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINSK
03.03.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
4-2
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.21 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
150 Passes 318
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru beat Kerala Blasters 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bengaluru as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bengaluru had 36% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 64%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.21 to 1.61 — on chances, Kerala Blasters could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bengaluru had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bengaluru and 1.00 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters?

Bengaluru 4-2 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 41%, draw 28%, Kerala Blasters 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bengaluru), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
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