Celje 2-2 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.14
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
32%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.8pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
2.10/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.86
-1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Domzale
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
21.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
25.02.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
27.10.2023 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
20.08.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
18.03.2023 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-2
AWAY Domzale
76% Ball Possession 24%
26 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celje vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje and Domzale couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celje at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 76% of the ball to Domzale's 24%, shots finished 26-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celje and 1.17 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Celje vs Domzale?

Celje 2-2 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Celje 61%, draw 22%, Domzale 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Celje), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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