Domzale 0-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.67/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.05
-32% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Celje
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-3 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
25.02.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
27.10.2023 Celje Celje 3-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
20.08.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
18.03.2023 Celje Celje 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
07.12.2022 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
0-3
AWAY Celje
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje cruised past Domzale 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Domzale had 38% of the ball to Celje's 62%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Domzale and 1.67 for Celje.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Celje?

Domzale 0-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Domzale 24%, draw 25%, Celje 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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