Cremonese 2-0 Lecce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.59
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.19
X/2
14%
6.81
X/X
17%
3.84
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
9%
5.13
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.10/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
-34% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +82%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
14.6 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lecce
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 319
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-2 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTA
02.10.2022 Lecce Lecce 1-1 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
23.01.2022 Lecce Lecce 2-1 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
22.08.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 3-0 HT 0-0 Lecce Lecce İTB
13.02.2021 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 1-1 Lecce Lecce İTB
21.10.2020 Lecce Lecce 2-2 HT 0-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-0
AWAY Lecce
2.08 xG 0.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
250 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Lecce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese saw off Lecce 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Cremonese made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Cremonese had 49% of the ball to Lecce's 51%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.08 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecce led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cremonese and 1.50 for Lecce.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Lecce?

Cremonese 2-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Lecce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 38%, draw 32%, Lecce 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Under 2.5
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