Lazio 1-1 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

Lazio
1-1 HT 1-1
Bologna
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Lazio vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.83
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
11.8
X/1
17%
5.37
X/2
8%
7.14
X/X
19%
4.04
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
11%
5.11
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lazio v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.18/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.30
-3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
381 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.1 Crosses 14.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Lazio vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bologna
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
468 Passes 434
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2025 Bologna Bologna 5-0 HT 1-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
24.11.2024 Lazio Lazio 3-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
18.02.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
03.11.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.01.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTK

Lazio 1-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1-1
AWAY Bologna
1.21 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
322 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio and Bologna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Lazio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lazio had 47% of the ball to Bologna's 53%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.21 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lazio and 1.33 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Bologna?

Lazio 1-1 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lazio 45%, draw 32%, Bologna 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lazio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lazio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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