Lazio 3-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.43
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
8%
8.63
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
8%
6.89
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +24%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.26
-21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.6 Crosses 13.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bologna
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
444 Passes 467
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
03.11.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.01.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
14.08.2022 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
12.02.2022 Lazio Lazio 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
3-0
AWAY Bologna
1.96 xG 0.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
541 Passes 197
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio swept aside Bologna 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lazio had 70% of the ball to Bologna's 30%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.96 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lazio and 0.67 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Bologna?

Lazio 3-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lazio 49%, draw 25%, Bologna 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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