Napoli vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
Napoli 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Roma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Napoli had 63% of the ball to Roma's 37%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.39 to 0.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Roma.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Roma?
Napoli 1-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Napoli 53%, draw 24%, Roma 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.