Como 0-2 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
8%
7.97
X/2
17%
4.42
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.61
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 52%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.12/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.22
+32% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
15.5 Crosses 19.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.03.2004 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTB
02.11.2003 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
0-2
AWAY Fiorentina
1.14 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
433 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina beat Como 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Como had 57% of the ball to Fiorentina's 43%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.14 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Como and 1.50 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Como vs Fiorentina?

Como 0-2 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Como 26%, draw 27%, Fiorentina 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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