Napoli vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-1 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli edged past Juventus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
From a near-even 36% / 36% / 28% read, it was Napoli who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Napoli had 50% of the ball to Juventus's 50%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.66 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napoli's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napoli and 0.67 for Juventus.
Napoli vs Juventus Result & Final Score
Napoli 2 - 1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Juventus Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Napoli 36%, draw 36%, Juventus 28%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.