Napoli 2-1 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.13
No
48%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.94
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
18%
5.28
X/2
12%
6.04
X/X
14%
3.34
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
12%
4.82
2/X
12%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
33%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
43%
+9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
57%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
+29% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.8 Crosses 12.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Juventus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
469 Passes 325
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
21.09.2024 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
03.03.2024 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
08.12.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
23.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-1 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
13.01.2023 Napoli Napoli 5-1 HT 2-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-1
AWAY Juventus
1.66 xG 0.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
414 Passes 444
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli edged past Juventus 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Napoli made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli had 50% of the ball to Juventus's 50%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.66 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napoli's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napoli and 0.67 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Juventus?

Napoli 2-1 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napoli 39%, draw 31%, Juventus 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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