Cagliari vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Cagliari v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Cagliari vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Cagliari 1-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Cagliari shaded a tight game against Roma 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
File this under upsets: a 60% lean on Roma went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Roma saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.32 — on chances created, Cagliari won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Cagliari against 2.00 for Roma.
Cagliari vs Roma Result & Final Score
Cagliari 1 - 0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Cagliari vs Roma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 15%, draw 25%, Roma 60%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.