Roma vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Cagliari
İTA
1-2
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
3-2
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
Roma 1-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Roma squeezed past Cagliari 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Roma had 61% of the ball to Cagliari's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.59 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Roma and 0.83 for Cagliari.
What was the final score of Roma vs Cagliari?
Roma 1-0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Cagliari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Roma 56%, draw 24%, Cagliari 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.