Roma vs Cagliari Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Cagliari — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Cagliari Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 1-0 Cagliari — Actual Match Statistics
Roma shaded a tight game against Cagliari 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 48%.
On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in Roma's favour, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.59 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Roma against 0.83 for Cagliari.
Roma vs Cagliari Result & Final Score
Roma 1 - 0 Cagliari in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Cagliari Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Roma 67%, draw 20%, Cagliari 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.