Fiorentina vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fiorentina v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Fiorentina vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Fiorentina
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Juventus
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Juventus
İTA
Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina swept aside Juventus 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fiorentina had 37% of the ball to Juventus's 63%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.41 to 0.85 — on chances, Juventus could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fiorentina and 1.00 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 41%, draw 27%, Juventus 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.