Venezia 0-0 Napoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Mar 2025

Venezia
0-0 HT 0-0
Napoli
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Venezia vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
11.85
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
8%
20.5
X/1
6%
12.9
X/2
14%
3.71
X/X
10%
5.14
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.84
2/X
6%
17.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Napoli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.02/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.90
-38% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +13%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
15.6 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Venezia vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Napoli
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.40 xG 1.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 545
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.12.2024 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
06.02.2022 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
22.08.2021 Napoli Napoli 2-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
07.12.2003 Venezia Venezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTB
21.12.2002 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB

Venezia 0-0 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
0-0
AWAY Napoli
0.74 xG 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
230 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Napoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia and Napoli fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Napoli at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Venezia had 42% of the ball to Napoli's 58%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.74 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Napoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Venezia and 1.20 for Napoli.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Napoli?

Venezia 0-0 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Napoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Venezia 23%, draw 24%, Napoli 53%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Napoli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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