Atalanta 0-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Mar 2025

Atalanta
0-2 HT 0-0
Inter
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Atalanta vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.69
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
10%
12.05
X/1
15%
5.76
X/2
11%
6.05
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.98
2/X
5%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atalanta v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.53/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.22
+19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.4 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atalanta vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Inter
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.15 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
400 Passes 446
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.01.2025 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTSK
30.08.2024 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
28.02.2024 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.11.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
27.05.2023 Inter Inter 3-2 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
31.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTK

Atalanta 0-2 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
0-2
AWAY Inter
0.64 xG 2.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
365 Passes 383
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter saw off Atalanta 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Inter made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atalanta had 49% of the ball to Inter's 51%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.64 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atalanta and 2.67 for Inter.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Inter?

Atalanta 0-2 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 37%, draw 27%, Inter 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atalanta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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