Bologna 5-0 Lazio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2.53
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
9%
7.04
X/X
14%
3.74
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
10%
5.39
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lazio EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.44/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.58
+10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.0 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lazio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
432 Passes 447
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Lazio Lazio 3-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
18.02.2024 Lazio Lazio 1-2 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
03.11.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
11.03.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Lazio Lazio İTA
19.01.2023 Lazio Lazio 1-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTK
14.08.2022 Lazio Lazio 2-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
5-0
AWAY Lazio
2.25 xG 0.49
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
400 Passes 374
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Lazio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna swept aside Lazio 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bologna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bologna had 52% of the ball to Lazio's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bologna and 1.17 for Lazio.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Lazio?

Bologna 5-0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Lazio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bologna 43%, draw 31%, Lazio 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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