Cagliari 0-0 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Aug 2024

Cagliari
0-0 HT 0-0
Roma
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Cagliari vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
13%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 24% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.39
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.25
X/1
14%
7.42
X/2
11%
4.61
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.74
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cagliari v Roma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.15/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.02
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
19.9 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Cagliari vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Roma
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.09 xG 2.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Roma Roma 4-0 HT 2-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
08.10.2023 Cagliari Cagliari 1-4 HT 0-2 Roma Roma İTA
16.01.2022 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
27.10.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-2 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
25.04.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 3-2 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
23.12.2020 Roma Roma 3-2 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 0-0 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
0-0
AWAY Roma
0.98 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
258 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari and Roma played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cagliari had 43% of the ball to Roma's 57%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.98 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cagliari and 2.67 for Roma.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Roma?

Cagliari 0-0 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 32%, draw 29%, Roma 39%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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