Bologna 1-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.77
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
10%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.35
X/X
11%
3.93
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
15%
6.11
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.51/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.26
+5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.2 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Udinese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
419 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
30.12.2023 Udinese Udinese 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
02.04.2023 Bologna Bologna 3-0 HT 2-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
15.01.2023 Udinese Udinese 1-2 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.04.2022 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 1-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
17.10.2021 Udinese Udinese 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
1-1
AWAY Udinese
3.25 xG 0.99
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
493 Passes 131
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Udinese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna and Udinese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bologna had 73% of the ball to Udinese's 27%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.25 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bologna and 1.33 for Udinese.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Udinese?

Bologna 1-1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Udinese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bologna 42%, draw 27%, Udinese 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
18 Aug 2024
19:30 Hellas Verona vs Napoli Analysis →
21:45 Lazio vs Venezia Analysis →
21:45 Cagliari vs Roma Analysis →