Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2025

Cosenza Calcio
1-0 HT 0-0
Picerno
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Cosenza Calcio vs Picerno Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
1.97
Over 2.5
63%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
15%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
66%
+5.7pp
16%
Draw
21%
-4.8pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
47%
-9.6pp
63%
Over 2.5
53%
+9.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cosenza Calcio v Picerno — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
2.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.02
+76% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Picerno — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cosenza Calcio
1-0
AWAY Picerno
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cosenza Calcio vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cosenza Calcio edged past Picerno 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cosenza Calcio as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cosenza Calcio had 60% of the ball to Picerno's 40%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Cosenza Calcio vs Picerno?

Cosenza Calcio 1-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cosenza Calcio vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cosenza Calcio 72%, draw 16%, Picerno 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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