Nürnberg 2-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.26
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.48
X/2
10%
9.25
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.7
2/2
11%
6.86
2/X
7%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.7 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.2pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.46/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.61
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.0 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.58 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
269 Passes 362
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-0 HT 3-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
20.10.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-3 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
25.02.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
15.09.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
04.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
23.07.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
2-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.33 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
419 Passes 235
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg and Greuther Fürth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Nürnberg had 62% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 38%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.33 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nürnberg and 0.67 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Nürnberg 2-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 49%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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