Nürnberg 3-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

Nürnberg
3-0 HT 3-0
Greuther Fürth
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.06
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.13
X/2
7%
6.82
X/X
15%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.78
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.30/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.66
-19% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.2 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
226 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-3 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
25.02.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
15.09.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
04.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
23.07.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
21.03.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Nürnberg 3-0 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.66 xG 0.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
496 Passes 353
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Box Touches 16
3 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg ran out comfortable winners over Greuther Fürth 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nürnberg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 56% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 44%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nürnberg and 1.00 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Nürnberg 3-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 41%, draw 29%, Greuther Fürth 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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