Braunschweig 1-5 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.66
X/2
13%
5.09
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.26/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.01
-13% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.3 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.68 xG 2.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
268 Passes 465
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-1 HT 0-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
24.02.2024 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
17.09.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-0 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.12.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig HAZ
31.07.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-4 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
11.09.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 5-4 HT 3-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-5
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.72 xG 2.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 3
394 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 35
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin ran out comfortable winners over Braunschweig 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Braunschweig had 56% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 0.72 to 2.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Braunschweig and 2.67 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin?

Braunschweig 1-5 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 33%, draw 26%, Hertha Berlin 41%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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