Karlsruher SC 0-0 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.8
X/2
11%
6.98
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.14
2/X
7%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.73/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.70
+20% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +134%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
23.9 Crosses 11.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
409 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
05.01.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
16.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-2 HT 0-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
0-0
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.80 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
371 Passes 304
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC and Ulm 1846 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Karlsruher SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 55% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 45%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.80 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Karlsruher SC and 0.67 for Ulm 1846.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Ulm 1846?

Karlsruher SC 0-0 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 42%, draw 26%, Ulm 1846 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Over 2.5
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