Ordino 2-4 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordino EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 30%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.95
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
231 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-4 HT 0-1 Ordino Ordino AND
19.01.2025 Ordino Ordino 0-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
20.10.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
03.03.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
10.12.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
22.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordino Ordino AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ordino
2-4
AWAY Penya Encarnada
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ordino vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada saw off Ordino 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ordino at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ordino had 56% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 44%, shots finished 22-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ordino and 1.33 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Ordino 2-4 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordino vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ordino 46%, draw 30%, Penya Encarnada 24%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ordino) ✗ Under 2.5
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