Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
63%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.39
No
31%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
63%
Away Win
67%
-3.5pp
69%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.7pp
31%
BTTS No
32%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 71%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.80/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.22
-100% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
263 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 86%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
22.0 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Bolivar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.15 xG 2.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
202 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.10.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 2-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLPLK
08.07.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
26.09.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
12.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
12.11.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-2
AWAY Bolivar
1.02 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
203 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar edged past Independiente Petrolero 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 42% of the ball to Bolivar's 58%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 3.00 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Independiente Petrolero 1-2 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 19%, draw 17%, Bolivar 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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