Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
304 Passes 364
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2025 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
12.05.2025 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.11.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
27.07.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
26.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
0.90 xG 2.70
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
146 Passes 296
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 47
18 Crosses 26
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac edged past Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 39% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 61%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.90 to 2.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zeleznicar Pancevo.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.17 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 26%, draw 30%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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