AE Larissa 2-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

AE Larissa
2-2 HT 1-1
Panathinaikos
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

AE Larissa vs Panathinaikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
71%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
15.5
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
3%
24.0
X/1
3%
16.4
X/2
25%
3.66
X/X
10%
5.94
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
37%
1.66
2/X
6%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
12%
-2.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.8pp
71%
Away Win
68%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AE Larissa v Panathinaikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 71%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
0.81/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.97
-18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
237 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
14.3 Crosses 22.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

AE Larissa vs Panathinaikos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AE Larissa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
281 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.01.2021 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
28.09.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
25.01.2020 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
27.10.2019 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-2 HT 0-1 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
27.01.2019 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
16.09.2018 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-3 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN

AE Larissa 2-2 Panathinaikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AE Larissa
2-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
2.29 xG 1.72
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
156 Passes 449
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AE Larissa vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AE Larissa and Panathinaikos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Panathinaikos at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AE Larissa had 31% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 69%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 2.29 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AE Larissa and 1.67 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of AE Larissa vs Panathinaikos?

AE Larissa 2-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AE Larissa vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split AE Larissa 9%, draw 20%, Panathinaikos 71%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panathinaikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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