Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

Asteras Tripolis
1-1 HT 1-0
Levadiakos
📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 28% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.75
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
8%
6.43
X/2
17%
5.0
X/X
9%
4.53
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.23
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.15/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.28
-10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.8 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Levadiakos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
355 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2025 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUK
19.01.2025 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-2 HT 1-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
28.09.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
08.04.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
15.01.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
18.09.2022 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1-1
AWAY Levadiakos
0.42 xG 1.38
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
131 Passes 463
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Levadiakos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 28% of the ball to Levadiakos's 72%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.42 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levadiakos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 0.83 for Levadiakos.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos?

Asteras Tripolis 1-1 Levadiakos in the Greece - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 33%, draw 24%, Levadiakos 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Levadiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✓ Under 2.5
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