AEK Atina 4-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
77%
1.25
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.4
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
6%
28.0
X/1
25%
3.56
X/2
3%
26.0
X/X
6%
7.74
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
2%
26.0
2/X
4%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
76%
+0.8pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.4pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.19/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.03
+4% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +10%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
452 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 72%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.2
25.8 Crosses 9.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.25 xG 0.57
65% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
440 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-1 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
03.11.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
21.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-5 HT 0-3 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
28.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
08.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.10.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
4-1
AWAY Atromitos
2.44 xG 0.87
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
463 Passes 313
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina cruised past Atromitos 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AEK Atina had 59% of the ball to Atromitos's 41%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.44 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.33 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Atromitos?

AEK Atina 4-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 77%, draw 15%, Atromitos 8%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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