AEK Atina 2-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
14%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
25.0
X/1
17%
3.46
X/2
7%
21.6
X/X
6%
6.84
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
5%
21.45
2/X
7%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.9pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
2.20/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.76
+15% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 76%
35.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
25.1 Crosses 9.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEK Atina
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.93 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
405 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
21.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-5 HT 0-3 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
28.09.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
08.03.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 0-1 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
16.10.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
23.01.2022 Atromitos Atromitos 0-2 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AEK Atina
2-1
AWAY Atromitos
2.43 xG 0.64
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
557 Passes 108
86% Pass Accuracy 56%
39 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AEK Atina vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina squeezed past Atromitos 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, AEK Atina had 77% of the ball to Atromitos's 23%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.43 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AEK Atina and 0.17 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of AEK Atina vs Atromitos?

AEK Atina 2-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEK Atina vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split AEK Atina 59%, draw 24%, Atromitos 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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YUN More Greece - Super League
15 Feb 2025
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