OFI 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
9%
4.88
X/2
13%
6.54
X/X
17%
3.94
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
18%
5.07
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.24/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.03
+6% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.2 Crosses 16.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.27
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
451 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
27.04.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-1 HT 1-0 OFI OFI YUN
21.12.2023 OFI OFI 0-2 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
26.08.2023 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
22.04.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
21.01.2023 OFI OFI 1-0 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
3.72 xG 0.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OFI vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OFI edged past Asteras Tripolis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; OFI found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, OFI had 61% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 39%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.72 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold OFI's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asteras Tripolis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for OFI and 1.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

OFI 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split OFI 33%, draw 29%, Asteras Tripolis 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✓ BTTS Yes
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