Milan 1-1 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Jan 2026

Milan
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Genoa
📅08/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Milan vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.63
2-3
48%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.3
6+
4%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.88
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
18.45
X/1
22%
3.72
X/2
5%
13.2
X/X
14%
4.89
2/1
3%
28.5
2/2
6%
12.55
2/X
4%
21.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Milan v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Milan The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 17%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.69
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Milan vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Genoa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.41 xG 0.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
484 Passes 302
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2025 Genoa Genoa 1-2 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
15.12.2024 Milan Milan 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
05.05.2024 Milan Milan 3-3 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTA
07.10.2023 Genoa Genoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
15.04.2022 Milan Milan 2-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.01.2022 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTK

Milan 1-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1 - 1
AWAY Genoa
2.45 xG 1.32
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
499 Passes 299
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
57 Box Touches 14
49 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Milan vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan and Genoa traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Milan carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Milan's favour, shots finished 32-7, expected goals 2.45 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Milan against 0.83 for Genoa.

Milan vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Milan 1 - 1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 08/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Milan 66%, draw 22%, Genoa 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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