08/02/2024
·
15:25
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Jubail vs Al Shuaib Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
43%
31%
Draw
28%
27%
Away Win
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Jubail v Al Shuaib — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Jubail
The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Shuaib
The Market 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
-59%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
296 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
347 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Jubail vs Al Shuaib
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Jubail beat Al Shuaib 3-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Jubail as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Al Shuaib?
Al Jubail 3-1 Al Shuaib in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Al Shuaib?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jubail win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 42%, draw 31%, Al Shuaib 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jubail) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Jubail)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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