08/02/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Jerash FC vs Al Ansar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
28%
Home Win
19%
24%
Draw
22%
48%
Away Win
59%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jerash FC v Al Ansar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jerash FC
The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Ansar
The Market 62%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
298 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
353 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jerash FC vs Al Ansar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jerash FC edged past Al Ansar 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ansar at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Jerash FC vs Al Ansar?
Jerash FC 2-1 Al Ansar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jerash FC vs Al Ansar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ansar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jerash FC 28%, draw 24%, Al Ansar 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Al Ansar)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SUUD2
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8 Feb 2024