08/02/2024
·
15:50
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-1
Tuwaiq vs Arar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
15%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
37%
36%
Draw
31%
31%
Away Win
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuwaiq v Arar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tuwaiq
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arar
The Market 36%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+53% /
+53%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
261 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Tuwaiq vs Arar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tuwaiq swept aside Arar 3-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 36% / 31%) promised a tight game; Tuwaiq found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Tuwaiq vs Arar?
Tuwaiq 3-0 Arar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuwaiq vs Arar?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tuwaiq 33%, draw 36%, Arar 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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