08/02/2024
·
16:05
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Hottain vs Al-Noor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
No Pick
69%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
42%
4-5
16%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 69% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
50%
Home Win
63%
21%
Draw
22%
29%
Away Win
15%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hottain v Al-Noor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hottain
The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Noor
The Market 18%
-72% /
-72%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/2.00
-23%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-19%
/
-34%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
431 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
196 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Hottain vs Al-Noor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Hottain squeezed past Al-Noor 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hottain as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Hottain vs Al-Noor?
Hottain 2-1 Al-Noor in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 08/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hottain vs Al-Noor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hottain win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hottain 50%, draw 21%, Al-Noor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hottain) — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Hottain)
✗ BTTS No
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