Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Bolton Wanderers
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Crawley Town
İN2
2-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İNLK
Bolton Wanderers 4-3 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Crawley Town 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 67% of the ball to Crawley Town's 33%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.32 to 0.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.00 for Crawley Town.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town?
Bolton Wanderers 4-3 Crawley Town in the England - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 53%, draw 24%, Crawley Town 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.