Stockport County 2-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

Stockport County
2-1 HT 2-0
Barnsley
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Barnsley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.2
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.37
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Barnsley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.21/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
-50% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
25.9 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Stockport County vs Barnsley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Barnsley
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
340 Passes 250
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
22.01.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.12.2004 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.05.2004 Stockport County Stockport County 2-3 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
29.11.2003 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 1-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.03.2003 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1

Stockport County 2-1 Barnsley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
2-1
AWAY Barnsley
1.60 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
287 Passes 375
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County squeezed past Barnsley 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stockport County had 43% of the ball to Barnsley's 57%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.60 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stockport County and 2.17 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Stockport County 2-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 43%, draw 28%, Barnsley 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
8 Feb 2025
15:30 Charlton Athletic vs Stevenage Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Blackpool Analysis →
18:00 Huddersfield Town vs Reading Analysis →
18:00 Lincoln City vs Cambridge United Analysis →
18:00 Bolton Wanderers vs Crawley Town Analysis →
18:00 Rotherham United vs Shrewsbury Analysis →