Barnsley 1-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
13%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
11%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.36
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.45/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
22.01.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.12.2004 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.05.2004 Stockport County Stockport County 2-3 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
29.11.2003 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 1-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.03.2003 Barnsley Barnsley 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
21.09.2002 Stockport County Stockport County 4-1 HT 0-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnsley
1-1
AWAY Stockport County
1.48 xG 0.99
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
250 Passes 340
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnsley vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Barnsley had 45% of the ball to Stockport County's 55%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.48 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnsley had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barnsley and 2.33 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Barnsley vs Stockport County?

Barnsley 1-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barnsley 38%, draw 27%, Stockport County 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barnsley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barnsley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
14:30 Crawley Town vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
14:30 Reading vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Birmingham vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City Analysis →
17:00 Leyton Orient vs Wrexham Analysis →