Lincoln City 1-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
21.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2 EV+ ✗
15%
7.73
2/X
8%
15.9
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.73 — our 15% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.25
+2% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 66%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.6 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.62 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-2 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
12.03.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 6-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
28.11.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-3 HT 0-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
28.01.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
03.09.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 2-0 HT 2-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
15.01.2022 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
1-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.36 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City and Cambridge United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lincoln City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lincoln City had 53% of the ball to Cambridge United's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.36 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lincoln City and 0.50 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Cambridge United?

Lincoln City 1-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 45%, draw 25%, Cambridge United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lincoln City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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