Empoli 0-2 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Feb 2025

Empoli
0-2 HT 0-0
Milan
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Empoli vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.03
Over
50%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.69
No
49%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.77
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.06
6+
12%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.77
1/2 ✗
10%
22.1
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
8%
10.1
X/2
15%
4.35
X/X
13%
5.36
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.11
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Empoli v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 59%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
0.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.82
1.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.14
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
16.5 Crosses 17.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Empoli vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Milan
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.53 xG 1.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
283 Passes 470
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Milan Milan 3-0 HT 2-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
10.03.2024 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
07.01.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-3 HT 0-2 Milan Milan İTA
07.04.2023 Milan Milan 0-0 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
01.10.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-3 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA
12.03.2022 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA

Empoli 0-2 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-2
AWAY Milan
0.72 xG 1.32
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
208 Passes 410
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Empoli vs Milan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan had too much for Empoli 2-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

By the numbers, Milan saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.72 to 1.32.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.17 a game for Empoli against 1.83 for Milan.

Empoli vs Milan Result & Final Score

Empoli 0-2 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Empoli vs Milan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Empoli 26%, draw 27%, Milan 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan) ✗ BTTS Yes
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