Hellas Verona 0-5 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.08
Away Pick
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.97
Over
55%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.51
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.21
6+
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
10.9
1/2
8%
22.55
1/X
6%
19.4
X/1
7%
12.75
X/2
17%
3.86
X/X
9%
5.92
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.8
2/X
9%
16.85
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 69%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.00
1.78 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.97
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
16.7 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atalanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.18 xG 1.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 417
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 6-1 HT 5-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
15.04.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 2-2 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
27.09.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
20.05.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
28.08.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
18.04.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
0-5
AWAY Atalanta
1.72 xG 2.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
305 Passes 524
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hellas Verona vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta cruised past Hellas Verona 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Hellas Verona had 38% of the ball to Atalanta's 62%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.72 to 2.21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hellas Verona and 2.33 for Atalanta.

Hellas Verona vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Hellas Verona 0-5 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hellas Verona vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 21%, draw 24%, Atalanta 55%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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