Frosinone 1-1 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.27 — our 23% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.18
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
9%
5.0
X/2
15%
6.85
X/X
11%
3.84
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.23
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.58
+12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.0 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.78 xG 0.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
226 Passes 466
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
1-1
AWAY Catanzaro
1.56 xG 0.71
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
262 Passes 482
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
21 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 37
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Catanzaro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Frosinone had 38% of the ball to Catanzaro's 62%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.56 to 0.71.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Catanzaro?

Frosinone 1-1 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 37%, draw 28%, Catanzaro 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Frosinone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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