Sampdoria 1-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.03
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
16%
5.8
X/X
18%
3.55
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.25
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 37%
-20% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.04
-26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.4 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.23 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Modena Modena 1-3 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
03.02.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-2 HT 2-0 Modena Modena İTB
11.11.2023 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
01.05.2012 Modena Modena 0-2 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
26.11.2011 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
25.04.2004 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-0
AWAY Modena
2.14 xG 0.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
200 Passes 347
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria edged past Modena 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sampdoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sampdoria had 40% of the ball to Modena's 60%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.14 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sampdoria's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sampdoria and 0.83 for Modena.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Modena?

Sampdoria 1-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 36%, draw 31%, Modena 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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