Pisa 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
22%
3.99
X/2
12%
10.55
X/X
14%
4.44
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
6%
9.33
2/X
4%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.94/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.8 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 0-3 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
03.03.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
21.10.2023 Pisa Pisa 2-1 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
14.01.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-2 HT 0-2 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
13.08.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 4-3 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
20.03.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
0.71 xG 0.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
257 Passes 182
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
28 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella squeezed past Pisa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pisa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pisa had 57% of the ball to Cittadella's 43%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.71 to 0.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pisa.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pisa and 1.17 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Cittadella?

Pisa 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pisa 53%, draw 25%, Cittadella 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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