Mantova 0-3 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
52%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.53
1/2
4%
23.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
8%
7.88
X/2
19%
4.9
X/X
9%
4.99
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.63
2/X
9%
12.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
52%
Away Win
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +29%
0.91/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.12
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.5 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.51 xG 2.22
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
508 Passes 306
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
20.02.2010 Mantova Mantova 2-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
19.09.2009 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
14.03.2009 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB
18.10.2008 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
0-3
AWAY Sassuolo
0.35 xG 1.36
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
554 Passes 278
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo cruised past Mantova 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mantova had 64% of the ball to Sassuolo's 36%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.35 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mantova had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Sassuolo?

Mantova 0-3 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mantova 25%, draw 23%, Sassuolo 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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