Sassuolo vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sassuolo v Mantova — Team-Based Signals
Sassuolo vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Mantova
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Mantova
İTB
Sassuolo 1-0 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics
Sassuolo edged past Mantova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sassuolo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sassuolo had 40% of the ball to Mantova's 60%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.22 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sassuolo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo and 1.50 for Mantova.
What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Mantova?
Sassuolo 1-0 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Mantova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 55%, draw 22%, Mantova 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.