Palermo 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 3 Nov 2024

Palermo
0-1
Cittadella
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Cittadella Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.31
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.01
X/2
7%
9.05
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
8%
7.21
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Cittadella — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.48/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.24
-15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
25.8 Crosses 23.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3

Palermo vs Cittadella Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cittadella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.43 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 269
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.01.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 2-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
12.11.2023 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.03.2023 Cittadella Cittadella 3-3 HT 2-2 Palermo Palermo İTB
23.10.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
11.05.2019 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
30.12.2018 Cittadella Cittadella 0-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Palermo 0-1 Cittadella — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
471 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Palermo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Palermo had 61% of the ball to Cittadella's 39%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palermo and 1.33 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Cittadella?

Palermo 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Palermo 52%, draw 25%, Cittadella 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ BTTS No
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